Hello people,

Im just letting you guys all know, im moving BLOG homes to http://barty.blogabet.com and will shortly be putting my picks on here....

It's just so i can get a better look at my yield etc after learning spain/italian leagues over last couple of months...Hope you all stick around....

Cheers
Barty

For me there is some clear value on Liverpool here. Im not really understanding the difference in odds. People are looking at Milans progress to the finals with what was a comprehensive display against Manchester United in the previous game. But my feeling there would be that perhaps it wouldn't have been so empthatic had man utd had their 1st choice centre backs available and fit. That had a key factor on that game and perhaps people have forgot how much hard work Milan had in beating Celtic earlier in the competition?

Liverpool came through a difficult game against Chelsea in the previous round and they came through this game as underdogs so why can't they do the same again here tonight?

Now im not stupid enough to doubt the obvious quality's that Milan have and if they get Kaka on the ball a lot and he runs things for them in the attacking third then the trophy is as good as there's. But, if Liverpool can keep him out of the game and continue to keep their strong backline for this game, then Milan will not get any of the gifts that perhaps they had received from the Man Utd defence in the previous round. Im not taking anything away from them, but they may find it slightly more difficult to break down a solid Liverpool defence.

Both teams are expected to have a full squad of players to choose from with Liverpool's Bolo Zenden likely to be fit to play.

All in all, im not expecting any fireworks like 2 years back, im also expecting the game to be very tight but perhaps there is no value in the under 2 goals that’s on offer, but for me the true value lie's on Liverpool to lift the Champions league Trophy which looks pretty decent value here for me. I'm also taking Liverpool +0.5AH aswell (although odds are only 1.77 there is still some value there for me)

Good Luck!